Tuesday, October 3, 2023

Will India Experience a Sudden Surge in Covid-19? Here’s What the Experts Say

India’s caseload has been progressively decreasing, and if analysts are to be believed, the country is unlikely to follow Europe’s lead in the coming days.

An analysis by ‘Project: Jeevan Raksha,’ a public-private project providing insights on the handling of the pandemic, was used to illustrate the point in a piece in The Indian Express.

According to the article, Mysore Sanjeev, the initiative’s convenor, his team noticed a “72 percent decrease in non-government insurance claims for Covid-19 treatment” in October compared to September.

In September, 1.55 lakh claims were filed across the country, but by October, that number had plummeted to 0.41 lakh, he added. “This confirms that, despite the festive season and limited restrictions, Covid hospitalisation has decreased significantly in October,” he continued.

In comparison to September, non-government insurance claims for Covid-19 deaths fell by 60% (1,688) in October (4,074).

According to the statewide projection provided by Proxima Consulting, India is expected to “record 0.35 million new (Covid-19) cases between November 11 and December 10, accounting for only 2.3 percent of the predicted 15 million global new Covid-19 cases,” according to the research.

On Monday, India registered 8,488 new infections, the fewest in 538 days, bringing the total number of COVID-19 cases in the country to 3,45,18,901, with 1,18,443 active cases.

According to data updated at 8 a.m., the death toll had risen to 4,65,911 with 249 new fatalities.

For the past 45 days, the daily increase in new coronavirus infections has been below 20,000, and less than 50,000 daily new cases have been reported for the past 148 days.

The active cases account for 0.34 percent of total infections, the lowest since March 2020, according to the ministry, while the national COVID-19 recovery rate was 98.31%, the highest since March 2020.

In the last 24 hours, the active COVID-19 caseload has decreased by 4,271 cases. The daily positive rate was 1.08 percent on average. For the past 49 days, it has been less than 2%.

The optimism rate for the week was 0.93 percent. According to the ministry, it has been below 2% for the past 59 days.

The number of persons who have recovered from the sickness has risen to 3,39,34,547, with a 1.35 percent case fatality rate. The total number of doses given out in the country as part of the statewide COVID-19 vaccination effort has surpassed 116.87 crore.

On August 7, 2020, India’s COVID-19 tally surpassed 20 lakh, followed by 30 lakh on August 23, 40 lakh on September 5, and 50 lakh on September 16. It exceeded the 60 lakh level on September 28, the 70 lakh mark on October 11, the 80 lakh mark on October 29, the 90 lakh mark on November 20, and the one-crore mark on December 19. On May 4, India passed the two-crore mark, and on June 23, it passed the three-crore mark. There are 196 new deaths in Kerala and 17 in Maharashtra among the 249 new fatalities.

So far, the country has recorded 4,65,911 deaths, including 1,40,739 in Maharashtra, 38,175 in Karnataka, 37,495 in Kerala, 36,375 in Tamil Nadu, 25,095 in Delhi, 22,909 in Uttar Pradesh, and 19,383 in West Bengal.

More than 70% of the deaths, according to the ministry, were caused by comorbidities. “Our data are being reconciled with the Indian Council of Medical Research,” the ministry said on its website, adding that the state-by-state distribution of figures is still being verified and reconciled.

News Desk

The Shining Media is an independent news website and channel, covering updates from the world of Politics, Entertainment, Sports, International, National, and a lot more.

News Desk
News Deskhttp://theshiningmedia.in
The Shining Media is an independent news website and channel, covering updates from the world of Politics, Entertainment, Sports, International, National, and a lot more.


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